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Rene St. Cyr's avatar

Thank you Diane for excellent reporting. Putin is also using the Wagner group to clean out jail cells with his dissidents. Given Putin's terrorist regime coupled with ties to the Wagner group it makes me wonder why is the UN still recognizing Russia as a member and with veto powers. Let's hope a revolution within Russia materializes and soon. Kudos to Zelensky for singling out the treatment of Muslims (and possibly other minorities) within Russia.

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George Woloshyn's avatar

As usual, Diane, an excellent piece on a long-overlooked but timely and important issue. In fact - just like it took decades, even centuries, for many of the more populous "captive nations" (within the recognized boundaries of their separate "soviet republics") to take advantage of an opportunity for independence - this war is offering the same opportunities for the smaller "federation" minorities. The pot is beginning to boil, and it is likely that nothing short of stalinist repression can stop it. But the strength and motivation in Russia to do so may no longer be there.

However, your blog raises an interesting question and fails to address the inevitable geopolitical policy implications resulting therefrom. The question - if your stats on the predominant presence of Tartars and other repressed (especially muslim) minorities in the Russian forces are correct - then why are we not seeing larger numbers of desertions or the "fragging" of Russian officers? The Tartars, in particular, have a recent memory of their forced exile to Tatarstan, and Ukrainians have been their liberators and protectors. Should Ukraine be far more aggressive in inspiring insurrection and mutinies, especially in Russian armies?

And the unaddressed policy issue is the same that western leaders had to address when they woke up one morning in the early 1990's and discovered more than a dozen nations had replaced the one with which they had to contend (and with which they were comfortable). Will they do as bad a job (eg Bush's appeal to Ukrainians to continue submission to Moscow's lead) and merely stand by while various neighboring states start scrambling to acquire land and resources during the "fire sale" of the century, or discredit democracy and the free market system as a better alternative?

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